Climate change occurs more rapidly at high latitudes, making polar ecosystems highly vulnerable to environmental changes. Plants respond to these conditions by altering the fluxes of water vapor (H2O) and carbon dioxide (CO2). This study analyzed the seasonal variability of the Net Ecosystem Exchange (NEE) of CO2, as well as the sensible (H) and latent (LE) heat fluxes, in two ecosystems in north-central Siberia: a subarctic palsa mire near Igarka, and a mature larch forest near Tura. The flux responses to variations in atmospheric parameters were also assessed. Experimental data were collected from 2019 to 2023 using eddy covariance methods. The results showed that both permafrost ecosystems consistently served as net atmospheric CO2 sinks during the growing seasons, despite significant year-to-year meteorological variations. From 2019 to 2023, summer NEE ranged from -62.9 to -120.2 gC m-2 in the Igarka palsa mire and from -63.5 to -83.6 gC m-2 in the Tura larch forest. During summer periods characterized by prolonged insufficient soil moisture, higher air temperatures, and limited precipitation, the palsa mire exhibited reduced CO2 uptake (i.e., less negative NEE) and Gross Primary Production (GPP) compared to the larch forest. These results suggest that larch forests may be more resilient to climate change than palsa mires. This resilience is primarily linked to deep-rooted water access and conservative stomatal control in larch, whereas palsa mire vegetation depends strongly on surface moisture availability. H and LE fluxes exhibited significant interannual variations, primarily due to variations in incoming solar radiation and precipitation. No significant LE decrease occurred during periods of low precipitation in 2019 and 2020 when drought conditions were observed at both stations during the summer. Maximum H and LE flux rates occurred in June and July when net radiation values were at their maximum for both ecosystems. These findings underscore the urgent need for ecosystem-specific climate strategies, as differential resilience could significantly impact future carbon dynamics in the rapidly warming Arctic.

The relationships between climate (January and July temperatures, annual precipitation, and a relative moisture index) and the number of foci and intensity of the needle cast disease caused by fungi from the genus Lophodermium Chevall. in the Scots pine nurseries and provenance trials in Krasnoyarsk krai have been studied using multivariate statistics methods. It is found that peaks in the disease occurrence are related to the warm and humid weather conditions. Bioclimatic models of the needle cast ranges have been built using the climate variables; the spatial dynamics of the disease occurrence have been projected under various scenarios of climate warming over the 21st century. Model experiments have shown that the needle cast disease would shift northwards into the new regions in Krasnoyarsk krai, where the phytopathogen has not yet been registered in the nurseries. The largest forest areas exposed to needle cast disease are predicted to be at a high risk of outbreaks by 2020 under moderate climate warming. With a significant warming trend by 2080, potential risk areas will be reduced, because the pine expansion into the permafrost zone should be limited by slow thawing of its active layer.

Global warming is most pronounced in high-latitude regions by altering habitat conditions and affecting permafrost degradation, which may significantly influence tree productivity and vegetation changes. In this study, by applying a space-for-time approach, we selected three plots of Larix gmelinii forest from a continuous permafrost zone in Siberia with different thermo-hydrological soil regimes and ground cover vegetation with the objective of assessing how tree growth and productivity will change under different stages of permafrost degradation. A tree-ring multi-proxy characterization of mature trees was used to identify shift in ecophysiological responses related to the modified plant-soil system. Variability of tree-ring width (1975-2009), stable isotope ratios (oxygen and carbon, 2000-2009) and xylem structural characteristics (2000-2009) under climatic conditions of particular years indicated that an increased depth of the soil active layer will initially lead to increase of tree productivity. However, due to an expected water use increase through transpiration, the system might progressively shift from a temperature to a moisture-limited environment. (C) 2015 Elsevier GmbH. All rights reserved.

Stream chemistry in permafrost regions is regulated by a variety of drivers that affect hydrologic flowpaths and watershed carbon and nutrient dynamics. Here we examine the extent to which seasonal dynamics of soil active layer thickness and wildfires regulate solute concentration in streams of the continuous permafrost region of the Central Siberian Plateau. Samples were collected from 2006 to 2012 during the frost-free season (May-September) from sixteen watersheds with fire histories ranging from 3 to 120 years. The influence of permafrost was evident through significantly higher dissolved organic carbon (DOC) concentrations in the spring, when only the organic soil horizon was accessible to runoff. As the active layer deepened through the growing season, water was routed deeper through the underlying mineral horizon where DOC underwent adsorption and concentrations decreased. In contrast, mean concentrations of major cations (Ca2+ > Na+ > Mg2+ > K+) were significantly higher in the summer, when contact with mineral horizons in the active zone provided a source of cations. Wildfire caused significantly lower concentrations of DOC in more recently burned watersheds, due to removal of a source of DOC through combustion of the organic layer. An opposite trend was observed for dissolved inorganic carbon and major cations in more recently burned watersheds. There was also indication of talik presence in three of the larger watersheds evidenced by Cl- concentrations that were ten times higher than those of other watersheds. Because climate change affects both fire recurrence intervals as well as rates of permafrost degradation, delineating their combined effects on solute concentration allows forecasting of the evolution of biogeochemical cycles in this region in the future.