Climate change occurs more rapidly at high latitudes, making polar ecosystems highly vulnerable to environmental changes. Plants respond to these conditions by altering the fluxes of water vapor (H2O) and carbon dioxide (CO2). This study analyzed the seasonal variability of the Net Ecosystem Exchange (NEE) of CO2, as well as the sensible (H) and latent (LE) heat fluxes, in two ecosystems in north-central Siberia: a subarctic palsa mire near Igarka, and a mature larch forest near Tura. The flux responses to variations in atmospheric parameters were also assessed. Experimental data were collected from 2019 to 2023 using eddy covariance methods. The results showed that both permafrost ecosystems consistently served as net atmospheric CO2 sinks during the growing seasons, despite significant year-to-year meteorological variations. From 2019 to 2023, summer NEE ranged from -62.9 to -120.2 gC m-2 in the Igarka palsa mire and from -63.5 to -83.6 gC m-2 in the Tura larch forest. During summer periods characterized by prolonged insufficient soil moisture, higher air temperatures, and limited precipitation, the palsa mire exhibited reduced CO2 uptake (i.e., less negative NEE) and Gross Primary Production (GPP) compared to the larch forest. These results suggest that larch forests may be more resilient to climate change than palsa mires. This resilience is primarily linked to deep-rooted water access and conservative stomatal control in larch, whereas palsa mire vegetation depends strongly on surface moisture availability. H and LE fluxes exhibited significant interannual variations, primarily due to variations in incoming solar radiation and precipitation. No significant LE decrease occurred during periods of low precipitation in 2019 and 2020 when drought conditions were observed at both stations during the summer. Maximum H and LE flux rates occurred in June and July when net radiation values were at their maximum for both ecosystems. These findings underscore the urgent need for ecosystem-specific climate strategies, as differential resilience could significantly impact future carbon dynamics in the rapidly warming Arctic.

The Tibetan Plateau (TP) exerts strong powerful thermal forcing, which plays a vital role in influencing weather-climate variations in Asia and even the Northern Hemisphere. However, the causes of thermal variation over the TP have not been fully revealed. Here, the role of winter soil moisture (SM) in subsequent summer thermal anomalies on the TP was investigated through multisource datasets for the period 1979-2014. Results indicate a significant positive rela-tionship (r 5 0.52) between winter SM and subsequent summer-mean surface air temperature (SAT). Further investigations show that more (less) winter SM results in abundant (deficient) atmospheric water vapor in subsequent summer owing to its persistence. Furthermore, Earth's surface energy budget equation confirms that strengthened (weakened) surface downward longwave radiation caused by increased (decreased) water vapor is the dominant factor leading to SAT variations, even more significant for nocturnal SAT. The winter SM-atmospheric temperature positive relationship can extend from the sur-face to 200 hPa over the TP. In addition, the enhanced (weakened) atmospheric latent heat release associated with increased (decreased) water vapor content may be another important factor contributing to changes in atmospheric temperatures over the TP. Therefore, our results contribute to a better understanding of the effect of land-surface processes on thermal anoma-lies over the TP. SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT: Understanding the causes of thermal anomalies over the Tibetan Plateau (TP) is crucial for weather and climate variations, but the role of winter soil moisture (SM) in subsequent summer ther-mal effects is largely unknown. This study investigated the relationship between winter SM and thermal anomalies in subsequent summers on the TP. Results show that the above (below)-normal winter SM will cause warm (cold) atmospheric temperatures in the subsequent summer. The above (below)-normal winter SM anomalies bring increased (decreased) atmospheric water vapor in summer owing to its persistence, resulting in strengthened (weakened) down-ward longwave radiation and atmospheric latent heat release to heat (cool) the atmosphere.